2018 Mid-Year Housing Summit Recap

Thanks to everyone who attended the 2018 Mid-Year Housing Summit from Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you missed the event, don’t worry! A summary of the discussions and links to the various presentations are available here.

Links and resources referenced at the Mid-Year Housing Summit:

FH ClassInvest in RPACAmm

**Please note: The RPAC investment information on this page is only intended for BRR members.

2017 Boise School District Bond Update

2017 Boise School District Bond Update

Coby Dennis, the Deputy Superintendent of the Boise School District, provided a progress report on the various projects funded by the 2017 school district bond. Boise Regional REALTORS® endorsed and supported this successful campaign last year.


Fair Housing Update

Fair Housing Update

Debbi Myers, certified real estate instructor and BRR Director, discussed the importance of understanding fair housing in our industry and gave a teaser on the upcoming fair housing class that was refreshed in honor of the 50th anniversary of the Fair Housing Act.

Ready to learn more about fair housing? Join us for a Lunch & Learn: That’s Not Fair! How to Avoid Fair Housing Violations, on Tuesday, October 23, from 12:00 p.m. – 2:00 p.m. Register today!


2018 Mid-Year Residential Real Estate Update

2018 Mid-Year Residential Real Estate Update

Breanna Vanstrom, Chief Executive Officer for Boise Regional REALTORS®, dug into the data and identified the trends regarding price, supply, demand, inventory, and strategies for building your business during the 2018 Min-Year Residential Real Estate Update. You can watch her full presentation on Facebook Live below. Thank you to our Facebook Live Sponsor, Idaho Housing and Finance Association.

“Getting to Solutions” Listening Session on Growth

Getting to Solutions

Soren Dorius, Director of Government Affairs for BRR, started the listening session by sharing some key findings from the Second Annual Treasure Valley Survey a survey conducted by BSU to explore public opinion on growth, transportation, and other issues. This project was funded in part by a $15,000 Smart Growth Grant secured by BRR.

The group shared ideas and solutions about how to maintain the quality of life during this time of growth, thoughts on what area would be the next good candidate for higher density projects, what features and places need to be “off limits” to development, the role of transportation, how REALTORS® can participate in public meetings, and much more.

PHOTO GALLERY

Thanks to our event sponsor and annual sponsors for making this event possible!

FB Live sponsor

2018 Annual Sponsor Poster v3 - compressed

 

May 2018 Market Report

ADA COUNTY HOME SALES REACHED RECORD $404 MILLION IN MAY;
DRIVEN BY INCREASE IN NEW CONSTRUCTION CLOSINGS

Key Takeaways:

  • The total sales dollar volume of all residential real estate sold in Ada County in May 2018 exceeded $400 million for the first time ever in a month, based on data going back to 2005. The previous high point was $371 million in June 2017.
  • This jump in dollar volume was driven by a 60% increase in the number of newly constructed homes that sold compared to May 2017, along with an 8.7% bump in the median sales price — reflecting increasing costs of land, labor, and construction materials.
  • Existing home sales were up just 2% from last year, but persistently low inventory pushed existing home prices up 16.1%, which further contributed to the record sales volume.

Analysis:

The total sales dollar volume of all residential real estate sold in Ada County last month was at the highest level ever in a month (based on data going back to 2005), reaching $404.4 million, an increase of 30.5% over May 2017. The previous high point was in June 2017 at $371.1 million.

May’s jump in volume was driven by a 60.1% increase in the number of new homes that sold compared to May 2017, along with an 8.7% year-over-year bump in the median sales price.

Existing home sales were up just 2% from last year, but persistently low inventory and high buyer demand pushed existing home prices up 16.4%, which further contributed to the record sales volume.

Here’s a closer look at the numbers in total and by market segment:

 

May 18 Ada County Volume Overall

May 18 Ada County Volume New Construction

May 18 Ada County Volume Existing

The monthly volume of home sales exceeded $400 million for the first time in May, due to more newly constructed homes selling at an overall higher price point. This higher price point reflects the increasing costs of land, labor, and construction materials, but as the supply of existing homes stays well below demand, we will see some buyers shift to new construction for more options, even as prices rise.


GEM COUNTY HOME PRICES UP IN MAY 2018

In May 2018, 33 homes sold in Gem County, leaving 58 new and existing homes available for sale at the end of the month — down 4.9% from the same month last year, but up 31.8% from April 2018.

The median sales price for existing homes in Gem County was $188,875 as of May 2018, based on activity over the past 12 months — an increase of 12.1% over the same period last year. For new homes, the median sales price was $206,624 as of May, also based on activity over the past 12 months. This was up 11.0% over the same period in the previous year.

Specifically, in the city of Emmett, closings were down 43.9% year-over-year, as 23 homes sold in May 2018 compared to 41 in May 2017, for existing and new construction combined. Based on activity in both segments over the past 12 months, the median sales price for Emmett was at $183,084 in May 2018, a gain of 9.8% over the same period last year.

Due to the smaller number of homes listed and sold in Gem County — compared to Ada or Canyon County, for example — we look at a longer timeframe to identify trends in home prices, specifically a rolling 12-month median. This helps to smooth out variations in price that may show up in monthly comparisons if there is a very high- or low-priced sale one month and not the next. While this is helpful to understand macro market trends, a consumer who is thinking about buying or selling a home should speak to a REALTOR® to understand the micro trends specific to their specific situation.


RESOURCES:

Additional information about trends within the Boise Region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available in the May 2018 Ada CountyCanyon CountyGem County, and City Data Market Reports. This includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

Download the latest (print quality) market snapshot graphics for Ada County Existing/ResaleAda County New ConstructionCanyon County Existing/ResaleCanyon County New Construction, and Gem County:

ADA Existing Snapshot - May 18

ADA New Construction Snapshot - May 18

Canyon Existing Snapshot - May 18

Canyon New Construction Snapshot - May 18

Gem Snapshot - May 18

 

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This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)6 trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS, available at: intermountainmls.com. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

Q1-2018 Market Report

Q1-2018 Ada County Market Report
Warmer Winter Temps Meant an Early Spring Housing Market

Key Takeaways:

  • Warmer winter temps may have encouraged homebuyers to shop earlier, as the growth in purchase activity during the first quarter was more like what we typically see early in the second quarter of the year.
  • The median sales price is the point at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less. For the existing/resale segment, there were approximately 725 homes that sold for less than $273,650 during the first quarter of 2018 in Ada County, and another 725 that sold for more.
  • Prices for existing/resale homes continue to be driven by lack of inventory versus demand, with 33.1% fewer options for buyers to choose from in the first quarter compared to same quarter last year.

Just because there is low inventory doesn’t mean there is no inventory. At the end Q1-2018, there were nearly 1,150 existing and new homes for sale in Ada County across all price points.

Analysis:

During the first quarter of 2018, homebuyers in Ada County purchased 1,450 existing/resale homes and 658 new homes, for year-over-year increases of 7.9% and 26.8%, respectively. Warmer weather over the winter may have encouraged people to shop earlier, as the growth in activity — especially for new construction — is more like what we typically see early in the second quarter of the year.

The Q1-2018 median sales price for existing/resale homes in Ada County was at $273,650, up 21.1% from Q1-2017. The median sales price is the point at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less during a certain period. For context, this means that there were approximately 725 existing homes that sold for less than $273,650 during the first quarter of 2018 in Ada County, and another 725 that sold for more.

Prices for existing homes continue to be driven by lack of inventory. Based on the number of homes available for purchase at the end Q1-2018—just 498 properties, —homebuyers had 33.1% fewer options to choose from than the previous year.

Looking at the new construction segment, the Q1-2018 median sales price in Ada County was at $355,085, up 12.1% from the same period last year. This means that there were approximately 329 new homes that sold for less than the median price during the first quarter of 2018 in Ada County, and another 329 that sold for more.

New construction prices primarily reflect the rising prices of labor and materials, as well as lower inventory this year than last year. There were 645 new homes for sale at the end of Q1-2018, down 18.7% from the end of Q1-2017. However, there continues to be more new homes available than existing in Ada County.

Key Metrics:

Q1 Ada County Housing Data by Segment

Q1-2018 Existing Home Median Sales Price

Q1-2018 New Home Median Sales Price



Q1-2018 Gem County Market Report
Low Housing Inventory Persists in Gem County

Q1 Gem County Housing Data by Segment

Homebuyers in Gem County purchased 60 homes during the first quarter of 2018, even with the same quarter last year.

The Q1-2018 median sales price in Gem County was at $189,175, up 9.8% from Q1-2017. The median sales price is the point at which half of the homes sold for more and half sold for less during a certain period. For context, this means that there were approximately 30 homes that sold for less than $189,175 during the first quarter of 2018 in Gem County, and another 30 that sold for more.

Based on the number of homes available for purchase at the end Q1-2018—just 41 properties—homebuyers in Gem County had 43.9% fewer options to choose from this year compared to last year.

Additional information about trends within the Boise region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available in the March 2018 Ada CountyCanyon County, and Gem County and City Data Market Reports. This includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

Download the latest market snapshot graphics for Ada County Existing/Resale, Ada County New ConstructionCanyon County Existing/Resale, Canyon County New Construction, and Gem County:

ADA Existing Snapshot - March 18

ADA New Construction Snapshot - March 18

 

Canyon Existing Snapshot - March 18

Canyon New Construction Snapshot - March 18

Gem Snapshot - March 18

Download print quality market snapshot graphics for Ada County Existing/ResaleAda County New ConstructionCanyon County Existing/ResaleCanyon County New Construction, and Gem County.

 

 

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NOTE: Monthly housing market data for cities and neighborhoods are fantastic tools for REALTORS® to use when advising their clients about real-time home listing and purchase decisions. Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) will continue providing REALTORS® with monthly data as a member benefit and a market intelligence tool but are shifting to a quarterly market analysis schedule for our press releases. This gives us the ability to look at the macro trends in the data that are shaping our region’s housing market, along with the bandwidth to go deeper into additional metrics, geographies, and market segments, in between these quarterly reports.

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This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)6 trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS, available at: intermountainmls.com. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

January 2018 Market Report

No Lag in Demand for Homes in Ada County

Last January, we discussed the effects of a historic snowfall on Ada County’s real estate market, which is quite different from recent stories about the mild winter helping boost new construction.

But despite builders being able to work when they normally cannot, it hasn’t been enough to push new inventory higher than it was last year. Homeowners are also not listing quickly enough to raise existing inventory levels, reasons for which are discussed in BRR’s 2017 year-end market report.

Surprisingly, pending sales (a measure of home buyer demand) were up 32.7% year-over-year, even as the supply of homes was down:

Key Metrics January 2017 January 2018 YOY % Chg
Inventory 1,425 1,213 -14.9%
Pending Sales 1,037 1,376 +32.7%
Difference 388 -163

 

When looking at these numbers, we see there were more pending sales in January 2018 than the number of homes for sale, both in the existing and new construction segments (figures above are combined).

This happened in early 2017, as well, and can occur because homes usually don’t close in the same month they are listed since it can take 30-90 days to do so after an offer is accepted.  So, when inventory is very low, there can be more homes under contract or pending, than available for purchase.

It’s remarkable that we’re seeing pending sales outpace inventory for new construction, too, especially considering the weather has been more favorable for building this winter. These numbers further reinforce the tremendous growth and demand for housing in our area.

The result of this very low supply compared to the very high demand, is that the Ada County median sales price hit a new record high of $279,900 in January 2018, up 16.8% from January 2017.

 

Demand and Supply Pressures Impacting Gem County Home Prices

In January 2018, there were 42 homes under contract in Gem County, up 7.7% from January 2017. That left 47 homes available for sale at the end of January, up 11.9% from the same month last year.

Pending sales (or homes under contract) measures buyer demand, while inventory (or homes for sale) measures supply. The relationship between these two metrics is reported as Months Supply of Inventory (or MSI), which was at 2.2 months in January 2018.

A balanced market—not favoring buyers or sellers—is typically when MSI is between 4-6 months of supply. MSI below four months is usually more favorable to sellers, while MSI above six months is usually more favorable to buyers.

Because buyer demand is outpacing supply, as shown through the low MSI calculation, home prices are rising in Gem County. Due to the smaller number of transactions that occur in the area, we use a rolling 12-month median sales price, to get a better idea of the overall trends.

Based on data between February 2017 and January 2018, the median sales price for Gem County was $183,350, an increase of 10.1% over the same period last year.

Additional information about trends within the Boise region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available in the January 2018 Ada County, Canyon County, and Gem County and City Data Market Reports. This includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

Download the latest market snapshot graphics for Ada CountyCanyon County, and Gem County:

ADA Snapshot - January 18     CANYON Snapshot - January 18     GEM Snapshot - January 18

 

Download print quality snapshot graphics for Ada CountyCanyon County, and Gem County.

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This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)6 trade association, representing more than 4,400 real estate professionals throughout the Boise region, with a focus on Ada and Gem counties. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS, available at: intermountainmls.com/Statistics/Static.aspx. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance.

The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.