January 2019 Market Report

EXISTING HOUSING SUPPLY UP IN JANUARY
AFTER 51 CONSECUTIVE MONTHS OF DECLINES

Key Takeaways:

  • January 2019 was the first time since October 2014 that the year-over-year number of existing homes for sale in Ada County increased, rather than decreased, up 5.9% from January 2018.
  • Despite this uptick in existing inventory, closed sales were down 6.3% year-over-year. The number of closed sales that are even possible was limited due to the fact we’ve had fewer and fewer existing homes to sell each month compared to buyer demand.
  • This additional inventory impacted the months supply of existing/resale inventory in Ada County, which was at 1.2 months in January, for all price points combined, up from 0.9 months as of January and was higher than we saw in any month in 2018 except for one.

Analysis:

Did the new year bring with it a new trend in the housing market for Ada County? While one month of existing inventory increases can’t be considered a trend, January 2019 was the first time since October 2014 that the number of existing homes for sale in Ada County was higher than the same month the previous year — up 5.9% compared to January 2018. We’re hopeful that this year-over-year increase is the start of inventory coming back into balance, however, we still have quite a ways to go before that happens.

Any increase in housing inventory is welcome news to those who’ve been looking to buy. If you’ve been considering a move, now would be a great time to talk to your REALTOR® about what’s newly available.

Despite this recent uptick in existing inventory, overall closed sales were down 6.3% year-over-year. Looking at the existing/resale segment specifically, sales were down 18.6% from a year ago. The number of closed sales that are even possible has been limited due to the fact we’ve had fewer and fewer existing homes to sell each month compared to buyer demand for over four years. The logic is simple — buyers haven’t been able to buy homes that aren’t for sale.

Speaking of buyer demand, the “Months Supply of Inventory” metric is a way to measure the relationship between inventory and buyer demand. This metric takes the number of homes for sale (inventory) divided by the average number of closed sales by month for the preceding twelve months. The resulting number can be described as the number of months it would take to sell through all the available supply assuming no other homes came on the market.

As of January 2019, the months supply of existing/resale inventory in Ada County was at 1.2 months, for all price points combined, up from 0.9 months in January 2018, when looking year-over-year, as well as December 2018 looking month-to-month. Still a far cry from the 4-6 months of supply that is considered “balanced,” but a small step in that direction. We will continue to monitor these metrics to see if the trend continues into spring.

 

HOME SALES AND PRICES UP IN ELMORE COUNTY IN JANUARY

In January 2019, 44 homes sold in Elmore County, up 12.8% over last year. This left 42 homes available for sale at the end of the month — a decrease of 41.7% year-over-year. Like other areas in southwest Idaho, and nationwide, Elmore County has seen a dwindling supply of existing/resale homes for sale in recent years.

Looking at sales over the past 12 months, the median price for homes that sold through January 2019 was $166,600 — up 17.3% over the same period last year.

Due to the smaller number of sales in the county, the 12-month average is a helpful way of analyzing area price trends, as it adjusts for any months in which a very high- or low-priced home sold that would otherwise be inconsistent with the general market.

Apparently, the colder temps haven’t deterred buyers in Elmore County. Thinking about selling? Talk your REALTOR® to find out what your home may be worth and what options are available based on your specific situation.

 

GEM COUNTY HOME SALES DOWN IN JANUARY

In January 2019, 13 homes sold in Gem County, down 27.8% from last year. This left 44 homes available for sale at the end of the month — a decrease of 6.4% year-over-year. This drop in sales could be due in part to seasonality, and the fact that Gem County has had persistently low existing/resale inventory for the last several years.

What does that mean for home sales in the coming months? Homes under contract, also called “pending sales,” are properties with an accepted offer that should close within 30-90 days. Pending sales were also down year-over-year in January by 4.8%, but up from the previous month by 33.3%, so February and March will likely bring more sales than what we saw in the first month of 2019.

Looking at sales over the past 12 months, the median price for homes that sold through January 2019 was $198,225 — up 10.4% over the same period last year.

Due to the smaller number of sales in the county, the 12-month average is a helpful way of analyzing area price trends, as it adjusts for any months in which a very high- or low-priced home sold that would otherwise be inconsistent with the general market.

Although home sales are down a bit compared to January 2018 in Gem County, we don’t anticipate that will continue as we head into the spring market. And with prices where they are, those who are selling are getting a great value for their homes. If you think you might be ready for a move, talk your REALTOR® to find out what options are available based on your specific situation.

 

RESOURCES:

Additional information about trends within the Boise Region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available here: Ada CountyCanyon County, Elmore CountyGem County, and City Data Market Reports. Each includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

 ADA Snapshot - Jan 19 Canyon Snapshot - Jan 19

Elmore Snapshot - Jan 19 Gem Snapshot - Jan 19

Download the latest (print quality) market snapshot graphics for Ada CountyAda County Existing/ResaleAda County New ConstructionCanyon CountyCanyon County Existing/ResaleCanyon County New Construction, Elmore County and Gem County.

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This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)(6) trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

REALTORS® Endorse Boise’s ADU Proposal

Boise Regional REALTORS® is proud to endorse and support Boise’s Accessory Dwelling Unit (ADU) proposal. If the update to the ordinance is approved, these changes will:

  • Expand private property rights
  • Provide homeowners and investors a tool to increase housing supply and provide affordable housing options to the community
  • Allow for creative financial opportunities for homeowners to maximize the value of their property
  • Increase flexibility for homeowners, allowing them to rent out both the primary residence and ADU

Home prices in Boise region have been driven by a lack housing inventory compared to buyer demand — putting pressure on affordability. Boise’s ADU expansion plans are a great step in the right direction toward increasing our housing supply and helping families achieve the dream of homeownership. BRR is excited to see cities having open discussions and looking for creative solutions to address this growing need and demand for affordable and workforce housing.

You can learn more about the City of Boise’s ADU proposal at www.livboise.org/liv-stories/2019/accessory-dwelling-units.

BRR’s Public Policy Committee, made up of volunteer REALTORS®, carefully vets and considers all housing, private property rights, education, transportation, and other public policy matters and issues in Ada, Elmore, and Gem County. From there, the Public Policy Committee provides recommendations for endorsements which are reviewed and approved by BRR’s Board of Directors.

Eight Local REALTORS® Inducted Into National Emeritus Society

Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) is proud to recognize eight of its members who have been inducted into the National Association of REALTORS® Emeritus Society: Barbara Dawson, Group One Sotheby’s International Realty; David Jensen, The Jensen Group; Debbi Lampman, Homes of Idaho;Roger Malm, WestWind Real Estate; Danny Seamons, WestWind Real Estate; Ed Sperry, Equity Northwest Real Estate; Rose Cada Stevens, Trust Realty; and Rick Thurber, Coldwell Banker Tomlinson Group.

Each inductee has served our community and the real estate industry as a REALTOR® for 40+ years. The newest inductees were honored at the BRR Past President’s Breakfast on February 4, 2019.

They join the ranks of current BRR Emeriti members: Randy Andrews, Bart Ballantyne, Patti Bowman, Lynn Boyd, Maurice Clifton, Patricia Drilling, Andy Enrico, Mary-Edith Hill, Lee Hill, Phil Hoover, Paul Hudson, Donna Jacobsen, Ilene Johnson, Robert Kiah, Janis Ogawa, Horace Smith, Judy Weed, and Charles Weymouth.

 

2019 Emeritus Inductees

Left to Right: 2019 BRR President Phil Mount, Barbara Dawson, Rick Thurber, Ed Sperry, Debbi Lampman, David Jensen. Not pictured: Roger Malm, Danny Seamons, and Rose Cada Stevens.

View the event photo gallery.

Learn more about Emeritus eligibility and the application process at boirealtors.com/emeritus-status.

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Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) is a 501(c)6 trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

REALTOR® Awards Gala Event and Ticket Info

 

Gala Save the Date Image 10.9.18

Tickets went on sale Friday, February 1, at 10:00 a.m. As of Saturday, February 2, the event sold out. We are unable to add any additional seating or tickets due to the constraints of the space.

If you have tickets you’d like to sell or transfer, either do so independently or let Cassie know by emailing cassie@boirealtors.com. If you are looking for tickets, contact Cassie at cassie@boirealtors.com with your name, phone number, email address and number of tickets you are looking for in order to be added to the wait-list. We’ll do our best to put those who are looking to transfer tickets in touch with those who are looking for tickets.

Looking to sponsor this amazing, sold-out event? We still have some great ways to get your company in front of our 1,200+ attendees! Secure our Ride Share Sponsorship, Dessert Sponsorship, Live Artist Sponsorship, and/or Bar Sponsorship at boirealtors.com/2019-individual-event-sponsorship. Contact BRR Events Specialist Marind Amano at marind@boirealtors.com with any questions.

Boise Regional REALTORS® honors our outstanding members with the annual REALTOR® Awards Gala. The Circle of Excellence Production Awards recognize listing and selling achievements – and provides BRR members with an opportunity to celebrate the success of the Boise region real estate market. We’ll also be celebrating our Individual Award winners.

The evening kicks off with a cocktail hour from 6:00 p.m. – 7:00 p.m. Dinner will be served at 7:00 p.m. with the program beginning at 8:00 p.m. The After-Party starts around 9:00 pm and lasts until 11:30 p.m.

Please join us for a night to remember!

Important Ticket Info:

  • Tickets are non-refundable but they are transferable.
  • Tables seat 10. We are unable to add extra seats to any of the tables.
  • Tickets are required for admittance. Please bring either a digital or printed copy of your ticket to the event.

Find more information about the event including FAQs and hotel discounts on our event page.

 

2018 Residential Real Estate Market Report

Year-End 2018 Market Report - FINAL_Page_01

2018 was another year of record low inventory and record high median sales prices in Ada County — dropping to just 474 existing homes for sale in January and reaching a median sales price of $334,400 overall in August. Area home prices are being driven up by the persistent and historically low inventory of existing homes compared to demand, as well as more new homes selling at overall higher prices, primarily due to rising construction costs.

Despite the effects of low inventory and more new home sales, out-of-state buyers continue to be pointed to as the primary driver of rising prices by some. Our research shows that while in-migration contributes to the demand for housing, low inventory and a larger share of new home sales are the main factors determining home prices.

As long as demand continues to outpace existing supply, and new home sales claim a larger share of total sales, our market is expected to be one of the few nationwide to grow in 2019. We’ll certainly be keeping an eye on these trends and provide updates in our future reports.

See BRR’s 2018 Residential Real Estate Market Report for more on inventory, prices, affordability, and migration trends.

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This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)(6) trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

 

December 2018 Market Report

2018 BROUGHT RECORD HIGH HOME PRICES IN ADA COUNTY — BUT WHY?

 Key Takeaways:

  •  For the year, Ada County’s overall median sales price ended at $314,000 year-to-date (January 1–December 31, 2018), driven by more new homes selling at overall higher prices, primarily due to rising construction costs, and the persistently low inventory of existing/resale homes.
  • While new home sales were up 22.4% in 2018 compared to 2017 — the number of existing/resale home sales over the same period was down 4.1%. Closed sales are limited in the existing/resale segment due to the supply of homes for sale dropping year-over-year for 51 consecutive months.

Analysis:

2018 was another year of record low inventory and record high home prices in Ada County. Last year also gave us the first signs that the market may be shifting back towards balance, and many economists expect that to continue throughout 2019.

The overall median sales price (activity for existing/resale and new homes combined) was often reported as the area norm in 2018. However, to better understand our local market dynamics, it’s important to identify the factors that are driving prices in both segments and how those trends are affecting the overall median.

Case in point — based on past data, when new construction sales made up more than 24% or 25% of the total sales in a given month, the overall median sales price was 12-14% higher than the previous year, on average.

Since March 2018, every month of the year saw the share of new construction sales at or above that level, which had a major impact on the area’s overall median sales price:

December 18 Ada County Share of New Home Sales

In addition, the median sales price for new homes has also been rising steadily, due to increasing costs of land, labor, and construction materials. The 2018 median sales price for new construction in Ada County was $373,898, an increase of 10.2% compared to 2017.  So, how much did this combination of more new homes selling at higher prices push Ada County’s overall median sales price up? For the year, the county’s overall median sales price ended at $314,000 year-to-date (January 1–December 31, 2018), an increase of 18.0% over the same period in 2017.

While new home sales were up 22.4% in 2018 compared to 2017 — again, having a significant impact on the new record overall median sales prices we saw in 2018 — the number of existing/resale home sales over the same period was down 4.1%.

Despite the year-over-year slip in existing home sales (more on that in a minute), the median sales price for existing homes in Ada County increased by 17.2% compared to 2017, ending the year at $290,000. As we’ve discussed many times throughout the year, this segment’s prices are being driven by the historic low levels of homes for sale compared to buyer demand.

December 2018 marked 51 consecutive months of year-over-year falling inventory in the number of existing homes for sale in Ada County. The number of closed sales that are even possible is limited due to the fact we’ve had fewer and fewer existing homes to sell each month compared to buyer demand. This is the primary reason we’re seeing closed sales down year-over-year.

Inventory vs. Closed Sales - Ada County Dec 2018

Another way to measure the relationship between inventory and buyer demand is with “Months Supply of Inventory.” This metric takes the number of homes for sale (inventory) divided by the average number of closed sales by month for the preceding twelve months. The resulting number can be described as the number of months it would take to sell through all the available supply assuming no other homes came on the market.

A balanced market—not favoring buyers or sellers—is typically between 4-6 months of supply. Below four months typically favors sellers and more than six months typically favors buyers.

As of December 2018, the months supply of existing/resale inventory in Ada County was at 0.9 months, for all price points combined. (For comparison, while new construction supply under $250,000 was at 2.0 months of inventory, the overall segment climbed to 4.0 months (with all price points combined.)

Ada County MSI - Dec 2018

As long as the months supply of inventory for existing homes stays right around 1-2 months, existing home prices should remain higher. This metric is showing us that buyer demand persists, even as there are fewer homes from which they can choose.

In summary, local home prices are being driven by the persistent and historically low inventory of existing homes compared to demand, and more new homes selling at overall higher prices, primarily due to rising construction costs.

We’ll dig into additional trends and data in our forthcoming year-end market report to get a better sense of how the market is shifting. Most importantly, we’ll look at buyer demand – where it’s coming from, what’s happening in related markets, and how our local economy and housing market is much different than a decade ago. It will also touch on forecasts from national economists, both for our local market and the U.S. overall. Check back soon!

 

MORE GEM COUNTY HOMES SOLD AT HIGHER PRICES IN 2018 

For 2018, Gem County’s overall median sales price ended at $199,782 year-to-date (January 1 – December 31, 2018), an increase of 7.9% over the same period in 2017. There were 342 home sales in 2018, up 8.2% compared to 2017. 317 of those were existing/resale closed sales, while 25 were new construction sales — a 25% increase in new construction sales from the year before.  

New homes typically sell at higher price points, due to increases in costs of land, labor and construction materials, so this larger share of new construction sales has brought up the overall median sales price of homes in Gem County last year. Persistently low inventory compared to buyer demand is the other factor driving up the median sales price.

One way to measure the relationship between inventory and buyer demand is with “Months Supply of Inventory.” This metric takes the number of homes for sale (inventory) divided by the average number of closed sales by month for the preceding twelve months. The resulting number can be described as the number of months it would take to sell through all the available supply assuming no other homes came on the market.

A balanced market—not favoring buyers or sellers—is typically between 4-6 months of supply. Below four months typically favors sellers and more than six months typically favors buyers.

As of December 2018, the months supply of inventory in Gem County was at 2.5 months, for all price points combined. This is an uptick from the 1.5 months we saw in November, but still not considered a balanced market. As you can see in the chart below, the months supply inventory is at less than a month below $200,000 price point.

December 18 Gem MSI

Gem County experienced the same market conditions in 2018 that we’ve seen elsewhere in the Treasure Valley — higher home prices due to low inventory and more new construction sales.  We’ll continue to keep an eye on prices, inventory, and months supply of inventory to see if the market is shifting more into balance in 2019.

 

RESOURCES: 

Additional information about trends within the Boise Region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available here: Ada CountyCanyon CountyGem County, and City Data Market Reports. Each includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

ADA Snapshot - Dec 18Canyon Snapshot - Dec 18

 

Gem Snapshot - Dec 18

Download the latest (print quality) market snapshot graphics for Ada CountyAda County Existing/ResaleAda County New ConstructionCanyon CountyCanyon County Existing/ResaleCanyon County New Construction, and Gem County.

# # #

This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)(6) trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

Phil Mount Installed as 2019 President of Boise Regional REALTORS®

2019 Boise Regional REALTORS® President, Phil Mount

2019 Boise Regional REALTORS® President, Phil Mount

Phil Mount, REALTOR® with Front Street Brokers, was named 2019 President of the Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) during the association’s annual installation ceremony, held December 14th at the Boise Art Museum.

Phil had this to say about his new role: “It is a true honor to be able to lead BRR and a membership engaged in one of the most essential professions– facilitating our neighbors’ most important transaction.  By providing a platform of advocacy, education & ethics, and a way to connect with industry colleagues, BRR enables our members to serve this community with professionalism and integrity.”

“Phil has an amazing passion for the real estate industry and outstanding insights into the community – both of which have been and will continue to be tremendously valuable to the initiatives we take on,” said Breanna Vanstrom, BRR’s Chief Executive Officer.
Mount will lead BRR’s volunteer board of directors in 2019, which includes:

President-Elect Michelle Bailey, Keller Williams Realty Boise
Vice President Jeff Wills, Amherst Madison Real Estate
Immediate Past President Gary Salisbury, Equity Northwest Real Estate
Treasurer Bob Van Allen, Coldwell Banker Tomlinson Group
Director Elizabeth Hume, Silvercreek Realty Group
Director Becky Enrico-Crum, Andy Enrico & Company
Director Michele de Reus, Accel Realty Partners
Director Bob Hurtt, ERA West Wind Real Estate
Director Debbi Myers, Front Street Brokers
Director Carolyn Sinnard, Happy Dog Realty
Director Ed Sperry, Equity Northwest Real Estate

View Photo Gallery

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Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) is a 501(c)6 trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

 

Elmore County is Now Part of BRR!

Boise Regional REALTORS®, Inc. (BRR) and the Elmore County Board of REALTORS®, Inc. (ECBR) are pleased to announce a merger of the two organizations, expanding valuable programs in government affairs, market research, community grants, and more, throughout Ada, Elmore, and Gem counties.

The newly merged organization will continue to operate as Boise Regional REALTORS®.

Sonia Arciniega

2018 ECBR President Sonia Arciniega

“REALTORS® in Elmore County are a close-knit group and it was important to us to find an association that helped us keep our roots in the community,” said 2018 ECBR President, Sonia Arciniega. “By merging with BRR, we can continue serving our neighbors while also expanding the educational opportunities and professional resources available to REALTORS® throughout Elmore County.”

Kim Daley, 2018 REALTORS® Community Foundation President

Kim Daley, 2018 REALTORS® Community Foundation President

Kim Daley, 2018 President of the REALTORS® Community Foundation, and Business Development Officer with Stewart Title, said this about the community service aspect of the merger: “Our colleagues in Elmore County have a long tradition of giving back to their community, and in particular, to the service men and women and their families at the Mountain Home Air Force Base. We are proud to be able to continue this support and financial giving through BRR’s REALTORS® Community Foundation.”

In November 2018, the REALTORS® Community Foundation distributed $32,000 to charitable organizations and plan to expand these grant opportunities to Elmore County in 2019.

2018 BRR President Gary Salisbury

2018 BRR President Gary Salisbury

“We are honored that the members of ECBR selected BRR as their association partner, recognizing the value we provide to REALTORS® through our programming,” said 2018 BRR President Gary Salisbury. “REALTORS® have always worked together for the benefit of our clients and communities, and this merger will only continue that tradition.”

 

 

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Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR) is a 501(c)6 trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

November 2018 Market Report

MORE NEW CONSTRUCTION SALES AND FEWER EXISTING HOMES KEPT
ADA COUNTY PRICES UP IN NOVEMBER

Key Takeaways:

  •  The overall median sales price for Ada County reached $324,250 in November 2018, driven by the persistently low inventory of existing homes, and more new homes selling at overall higher prices, primarily due to rising construction costs.
  • There were just 661 existing homes available for sale at the end of November 2018, down 24.0% from October — a drop of 209 properties. More existing inventory is needed at all prices points to meet the demand from home buyers, which is what will contribute to our market eventually coming back in to balance.


Analysis:

The median sales price for Ada County in November 2018 was $324,250 for existing and new homes combined. This was up 20.1% over the same month last year, but nearly even with October 2018.

As we’ve shared many times through our market reports, local home prices are being driven by the persistent and historically low inventory of existing homes compared to demand, and more new homes selling at overall higher prices, primarily due to rising construction costs.

On average, the share of monthly homes sales that are new is typically between 22-23%, meaning the other 77-78% of the sales are of existing homes. When the share of new home sales goes over 24% or 25%, we will see overall home prices (looking at existing and new homes together) increase, on average, between 12-14% year-over-year. As the share of new home sales increases, so does the overall median sales price and the related year-over-year increase.

This is what’s meant when we say the “overall home price is being driven up by more new homes selling.” To further illustrate this, the following table shows the share of new home sales over the past nine months compared to the overall median sales price and year-over-year increase:

November 18 Ada County Share of New Home Sales

However, new home prices are just part of the story.

In November 2018, the median sales price of existing homes in Ada County reached was $295,000, up 18.0% over November 2017. In this segment of the market, price increases are being driven by very low inventory compared to buyer demand.

There were just 661 existing homes available for sale at the end of November 2018, down 24.0% from October — a drop of 209 properties — and down 12.1% from last year. More existing inventory is needed at all prices points to meet the demand from home buyers, which is what will contribute to our market eventually coming back in to balance.

In comparison, the median sales price for new construction was at $390,000 in November 2018, up 13.9% over November 2017, and just below the most recent record high for this segment, which was $393,705 in June 2018.

If our market conditions of low inventory and high demand continue, there is no guarantee we’ll see prices drop significantly over the next few months, as we might normally expect as we move into the winter months.

However, those thinking about selling or buying shouldn’t be concerned with ‘timing the market,’ because the best time to buy or sell is when it fits your needs and circumstances. If you’re thinking about making a move, talk to your REALTOR® to explore your options.

 

HOME SALES AND PRICES UP IN GEM COUNTY IN NOVEMBER

In November 2018, 27 homes sold in Gem County, up 17.4% over last year. This left 53 homes available for sale at the end of the month — a decrease of 15.9% year-over-year. Despite persistently low inventory, Gem County has seen strong sales numbers for the last five months.

Looking at sales over the past 12 months, the median price for homes that sold through November 2018 was $196,303 — up 8.1% over the same period last year.

Due to the smaller number of sales in the county, the 12-month average is a helpful way of analyzing area price trends, as it adjusts for any months in which a very high- or low-priced home sold that would otherwise be inconsistent with the general market.

Apparently, the colder temps haven’t deterred buyers in Gem County. Thinking about selling? Talk your REALTOR® to find out what your home may be worth and what options are available based on your specific situation.


RESOURCES:

Additional information about trends within the Boise Region, by price point, by existing and new construction, and by neighborhood, are now available here: Ada CountyCanyon CountyGem County, and City Data Market Reports. Each includes an explanation of the metrics and notes on data sources and methodology.

ADA Snapshot - Nov 18Canyon Snapshot - Nov 18Gem Snapshot - Nov 18

Download the latest (print quality) market snapshot graphics for Ada CountyAda County Existing/ResaleAda County New ConstructionCanyon CountyCanyon County Existing/ResaleCanyon County New Construction, and Gem County.

# # #

This report is provided by Boise Regional REALTORS® (BRR), a 501(c)(6) trade association, representing real estate professionals throughout the Boise region. Established in 1920, BRR is the largest local REALTOR® association in the state of Idaho, helping members achieve real estate success through ethics, professionalism, and connections. BRR has two wholly-owned subsidiaries, Intermountain MLS (IMLS) and the REALTORS® Community Foundation.

If you have questions about this report, please contact Cassie Zimmerman, Director of Communications for Boise Regional REALTORS®. If you are a consumer, please contact a REALTOR® to get the most current and accurate information specific to your situation.

The data reported is based primarily on the public statistics provided by the IMLS, available at: intermountainmls.com. These statistics are based upon information secured by the agent from the owner or their representative. The accuracy of this information, while deemed reliable, has not been verified and is not guaranteed. These statistics are not intended to represent the total number of properties sold in the counties or cities during the specified time period. The IMLS and BRR provide these statistics for purposes of general market analysis but make no representations as to past or future performance. The term “single-family homes” includes detached single-family homes with or without acreage, as classified in the IMLS. These numbers do not include activity for mobile homes, condominiums, townhomes, land, commercial, or multi-family properties (like apartment buildings).

Save BIG on Healthcare Costs with an Idaho MSA

This post contains sponsored content and affiliate links.

What is an MSAIdaho Independent Bank is offering BRR members a big discount on an Idaho Medical Savings Accounts (MSA)!

An Idaho MSA is a special bank account anyone can open that allows you to pay health insurance premiums, Medicare premiums and all of the out-of-pocket medical expenses like medical bills, dental, vision, prescriptions, supplies and alternative care with tax-free dollars on the Idaho level.  You can deposit up to $20,000/year to pay these expenses you’re going to pay anyway, and everything you put into the account you can deduct whether you spend it or not.  Unspent funds simply roll over every year building a balance for future needs.  It’s like a Medical IRA!

Adam Berry, the Healthcare Accounts Officer from Idaho Independent Bank, will be at BRR on Thursday, December 13th from 3:00 – 4:00 to talk about what these accounts are, how they work, and why they’re such a huge benefit to our community.  There’s no cost to attend, so come learn about how you can save money on the healthcare costs for you and your family and get a tax deduction while you’re at it!  Please RSVP for this event.

Here are the five biggest reasons you need to open an Idaho MSA immediately:

  1. Available to Everyone! 
    • Works for Idahoans of any age, with any insurance policy (or lack thereof).
  1. Huge Tax Deduction! 
    • Every dollar you deposit up to $20,000/year reduces your Idaho taxable income, whether you spend it or not.
  1. Medical Costs Are Inevitable! 
    • Use this account to pay tax-free for doctor’s visits, hospital bills, dental, vision, prescriptions, etc. – Spouse & kids included.
  1. Great Budgeting Tool! 
    • Put money away when you have it, so it’s there when you’ll need it – with the added bonus of a tax deduction!
  1. Keep More of Your Own Money!
    • Reduce your taxable income, unspent funds roll over towards retirement, and they’re always spent tax-free to pay medical expenses.  It’s a no-brainer!